What is Russia’s Next Move?

As expected, the diplomatic talks between Russia, the U.S. and NATO produced no progress.  The opposing sides are far apart.  Meanwhile, long trains carrying Russian military equipment are heading in the Western direction.  What will Putin do next?  Something significant will happen soon.  Neither side seems willing to back down.  Instead, each seems committed to […]

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Why Did Putin Do It: Part 2

III.       Is Compromise Possible? Left unresolved, the current stalemate will eventually lead to war. The Russian leadership cannot tolerate the post-2014 status quo, which it believes will lead to its demise. They also reject Western moral supremacy and global hegemony. Meanwhile, the Western leadership (putting aside Trump for the moment) is dominated by people who […]

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Ukraine Six Months Later: The Brave New World of Controllable Chaos

Six months ago, before the Crimean referendum and the rebellion in Donetsk and Luhansk regions, I offered a few musings on the Ukrainian events. Keeping in mind that the game is still only in the third inning, today I was curious to look back and see how many of my predictions turned out to be […]

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The Ukrainian Crisis:The Beginning of the End, or an Opportunity for a New Beginning?

The Russian army is occupying Crimea. The lack of insignia and Kremlin’s assertion that these are “Crimean self-defense forces” is a cute twist, but it’s not fooling anybody. But it’s also clear that a significant portion of Crimea’s population opposes the new rebellious government in Kiev and welcomes the Russian intervention. Whether Crimea has a […]

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